Copa Del Rey 2026 Forecast

Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Copa del Rey 2026 Prediction

Victory for Real Sociedad with goals from both teams.

Alavés

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Royal Society

Alavés faces Real Sociedad in an exciting Copa del Rey quarterfinal duel.

The hosts are looking to surprise at home, while Real Sociedad aims to impose their quality.

Analysis of Alavés: A growing team.

Alavés has shown notable improvement throughout the season.

Start of season and current situation.

They started the season with the shadow of relegation, but they have managed to reverse the situation.

League position and streaks.

They are currently in tenth position, far from the danger zone.

Latest results.

They come from two consecutive victories, the last one away against Espanyol (1-2).

Casualties and injuries.

Benavidez and Protesoni are out due to injury.

Provisional lineup.

Fernández – Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Henriques – Calebe, Ibáñez, Blanco, Rebbah – Martínez, Manas.

Analysis of the Royal Society: European aspirations.

Real Sociedad began the season with its sights set on European positions.

Initial objectives and current reality.

Although they did not meet initial expectations, a change of coach has revitalized the team.

Impact of the new coach.

Pellegrino Matarazzo has transformed the team, leading it to a positive streak.

League position and unbeaten streak.

They are eighth in the standings and have accumulated eight games without losing.

Lows and doubts.

Marrero, Rupérez and Kubo are injured. Zakharyan is doubt.

Provisional lineup.

Remiro – Aramburu, Chaleta-Tsar, Subeldia, Gómez – Soler, Gorrotachegi – Guedes, Sucic, Marín – Oyarzabal.

Interesting betting trends.

Real Sociedad has not lost in its last eight games, with four wins and four draws.

Goals in recent games.

In Real Sociedad's last nine games, both teams have scored.

Head-to-head statistics.

The duels between Alavés and Real Sociedad are usually even, with variable results.

Recent history.

In the last five matches, there have been victories for both teams and draws.

Season statistics: Alavés.

Possession and shots.

Alavés averages 51% possession and 11.2 shots per game.

Defense and discipline.

They concede an average of 1.6 goals and receive 12.4 fouls per game.

Goals in Alavés matches.

In 100% of their last games they have exceeded 0.5 goals.

Individual goals from Alavés.

In 80% of their last games, Alavés has scored more than 0.5 goals.

Season statistics: Real Sociedad.

Possession and shots.

Real Sociedad has 49% possession and takes 11.8 shots per game.

Defense and discipline.

They concede an average of 2.2 goals and commit 14.3 fouls per game.

Goals in Real Sociedad matches.

In 100% of their last games they have exceeded 0.5 goals.

Individual goals for Real Sociedad.

In 80% of their last games, Real Sociedad has scored more than 0.5 goals.

Comparison of performance in direct confrontations.

Goal average.

Alavés scores an average of 2.2 goals in their direct confrontations, while Real Sociedad scores 1.6.

Victories and goals in the first half.

Alavés has 40% clean wins and scores 60% of its goals in the first half.

Recommended betting levels.

Main bet: Real Sociedad win and both teams score.

Real Sociedad arrives in better shape and with a positive streak, but Alavés has proven to be a difficult rival at home and with scoring ability.

Safe bet: More than 1.5 goals in the match.

Both teams have a tendency to score and concede, which suggests a game with goals.

Risk bet (high odds): Draw at half-time and victory for Real Sociedad at the end.

Considering the defensive solidity of both teams in the first half and Real Sociedad's ability to come back or secure victories in the second half.

Detailed analysis of the match.

Alavés arrives at this Copa del Rey match with high morale after its recent league victories. They have managed to consolidate their position in the table, moving away from the relegation zone and showing a more cohesive game. The offensive duo formed by Manas and Martínez has been effective, and the midfield, with players like Blanco, provides solidity. However, the losses of Benavidez and Protesoni could reduce their capacity in midfield.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad is going through a sweet moment. The arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo has been a shock, and the team has gone on a streak of eight games without losing. The defensive solidity, despite the losses of Marrero and Rupérez, and the punch of Oyarzabal in attack, are their main weapons. The doubt about Zajaryan could affect his offensive potential, but the depth of his squad allows these absences to be covered.

The history between both teams is balanced, which adds a component of unpredictability. However, the current form and motivation of Real Sociedad, which seeks to consolidate its presence in European competitions, could tip the balance. Despite this, Alavés has proven to be a brave team, capable of competing against any rival, especially in its home territory.

The key to the match could be in Real Sociedad's ability to impose its rhythm and take advantage of the spaces left by Alavés in its quest to win. Alavés' defense, although it has improved, can be vulnerable to the individual quality of the San Sebastian attackers. However, Alavés has the ability to surprise with quick transitions and set pieces.

A disputed match is expected, with chances for both sides. Real Sociedad are the favorites due to their current form, but Alavés will not give in easily. The bet on Real Sociedad's victory combined with both teams scoring seems a solid option, since Real Sociedad has the ability to score and Alavés has proven to be a goal-scoring team.

The safe bet of more than 1.5 goals is based on the tendency of both teams to generate and receive scoring opportunities. Real Sociedad, in particular, has had high-scoring games in their recent matches. Alavés, playing at home and with the need to bring joy to their fans, will also seek to propose offensively.

The risky bet, a draw at half-time and a victory for Real Sociedad, is based on the possibility that Alavés will hold on to the result in the first half, but the greater depth and quality of Real Sociedad will prevail in the second half. It is a bet that seeks to capitalize on the ability of both teams to manage the pace of the match and Real Sociedad's experience in close matches.

Equipment rating:

• Alavés: Form 7/10, Attack 7/10, Defense 6/10, Motivation 8/10
• Real Sociedad: Form 8/10, Attack 8/10, Defense 7/10, Motivation 9/10

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

This forecast is prepared through a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. The recent trends of both teams are evaluated, including results, goals scored and conceded, Expected Goals (xG), shots on goal, ball possession, numerical superiority, injury history and possible lineups. These data are crossed with the historical performance in direct confrontations and the intrinsic motivation of each team in the competition.

Why is a Real Sociedad victory predicted with goals from both teams?

Real Sociedad arrives at a time of exceptional form, with an undefeated streak and a more solid game after the change of coach. However, Alavés has proven to be a competitive team at home and with the ability to score goals, as evidenced by its latest results. The combination of Real Sociedad's offensive strength and Alavés' ability to react makes it likely that both teams will score in a match that is expected to be played.

What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

In the world of sports betting, there is an inherent margin of error. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to remember that football is unpredictable and unexpected variables such as referee decisions, individual errors or moments of inspiration from players can influence. In the event of a failed prediction, it is recommended not to get carried away by frustration, analyze the causes of the result and adjust the strategy for future bets, always betting responsibly.

How is team form evaluated?

Team form is assessed by analyzing their last 5 to 10 matches. Factors such as the number of wins, draws and losses, the number of goals scored and conceded, performance at home and away, and the quality of the rivals faced are considered. The aim is to identify patterns and trends that indicate the current state of play and morale of each squad.

What are Expected Goals (xG)?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the probability of a shot on goal converting into a goal. It is calculated based on a large amount of historical data and considers factors such as the distance to the goal, the angle of the shot, the type of assist and the part of the body used for the shot. High xG indicates that a team generates high-quality scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they materialize into actual goals.

How do injuries influence prognosis?

Injuries are a crucial factor. The absence of key players, especially in important positions such as forward or defense, can significantly alter a team's performance. The impact of casualties on the tactical structure, offensive capacity and defensive solidity of the affected team is analyzed.

What does the “both teams score” bet mean?

The bet “both teams to score” (BTTS – Both Teams To Score) wins if both the home team and the visiting team manage to score at least one goal during the match. It is a popular bet in matches where an exchange of blows is expected and both teams have offensive potential.

How is the “safe” bet determined?

The “safe” bet is based on markets with a high probability of success, although the odds are usually lower. Events or results that, according to statistical analysis, have a very high probability of occurring are prioritized, minimizing the risk for the bettor.

What factors are considered for the “risk” bet (high odds)?

The risk bet focuses on outcomes with high odds, which implies a lower probability of occurrence but a greater potential for profit. Less obvious scenarios are sought, such as specific exact scores, results in favor of less favorite teams but with potential for surprise, or less common combinations of events.

How is ball possession information used?

Ball possession is an indicator of game control. A team with more possession usually has more attacking opportunities and can dictate the pace of the game. However, it does not always translate into victory, since effectiveness in transitions and the ability to take advantage of the opponent's mistakes are equally important. Possession is analyzed in relation to the generation of chances and offensive effectiveness.