
Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction – March 13, 2026
Expected result: Victory for Villarreal, recommended bet: Villarreal wins or draws
Alavés
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Villarreal
Match analysis
Alavés is in a negative streak that seems to have no end. Six games without a victory is a worrying statistic for any team, and the arrival of Quique Sánchez Flores has failed to change the team's course. In their last match against Valencia, despite scoring two goals, the team suffered a 3-2 defeat. In general, Alavés has shown obvious defensive weaknesses, with at least two goals conceded in six of its last seven games.
On the other hand, Villarreal is in a somewhat more stable situation, although its performance away from home has been questionable. The team has achieved three victories in the last four games, but its away numbers remain mediocre, with only one win and one draw in the last six games away from home.
Alavés' last 5 games
- 03/08/26 – Valencia 3:2 Alavés
- 02/27/26 – Levante 2:0 Alavés
- 02/23/26 – Alavés 2:2 Girona
- 02/14/26 – Sevilla 1:1 Alavés
- 02/08/26 – Alavés 0:2 Getafe
Villarreal's last 5 games
- 03/08/26 – Villarreal 2:1 Elche
- 02/28/26 – Barcelona 4:1 Villarreal
- 02/22/26 – Villarreal 2:1 Valencia
- 02/18/26 – Levante 0:1 Villarreal
- 02/14/26 – Getafe 2:1 Villarreal
Equipment comparison
| Statistics | Alavés | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 53.6% | 51.1% |
| Shots on goal | 14 | 11.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Fouls | 16.8 | 15.2 |
| yellow cards | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Betting trends
– **Main bet (safe)**: Villarreal victory or draw. Although Villarreal has difficulties away from home, the difference in quality between both teams makes Villarreal the favorite.
– **Risky bet**: More than 2.5 goals in the match. Given the history of goals scored and conceded by both teams, it is likely that goals will be seen, especially due to Alavés' defensive weakness.
– **High risk bet**: Victory by more than one goal for Villarreal. Despite their problems away from home, Villarreal has proven to be superior to Alavés in recent direct confrontations.
Possible alignments
– **Alavés**: Sivera – Pérez, Castro, Tenaglia, Parada, Henriques – Blanco – Aleña, Ibáñez – Boyer, Martínez
– **Villarreal**: Junior – Mourinho, Marin, Veiga, Cardona – Buchanan, Comesaña, Gueye, Moleiro – Pepe, Mikautadze
Frequently asked questions (FAQ)
1. How is this forecast made?
The forecast is made based on data from platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. Aspects such as recent form, statistics from previous matches, injuries, and other relevant factors are analyzed to determine the most likely outcome.
2. Why do I make this prediction?
The analysis is based on the current form of both teams. Alavés has shown great defensive vulnerability, while Villarreal, although away from home they have had ups and downs, have a team of greater quality and motivation to ensure their classification.
3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
Predictions are not always 100% accurate due to unpredictable factors such as last-minute injuries, referee decisions, or changes in the coach's strategy. It is always advisable to manage bets with caution.
4. How does the suspension of key players affect?
The suspensions of players like Guevara and Pacheco are important factors affecting Alavés' defensive stability. The lack of key players could further weaken the team, which favors Villarreal.
5. What are the best bets for this match?
The safest bets include Villarreal's victory or draw. Longshot bets include over 2.5 goals, as both teams have a history of multi-goal matches.
6. What impact will motivation have in this match?
Villarreal has more motivation to secure its place in the standings, while Alavés fights to avoid relegation. This could influence the intensity of the game.
7. What statistics should I take into account when placing a bet?
It is important to look at possession, shots on goal, goals scored and conceded, and defensive statistics. These data offer a clear view of how the match will develop.
8. What do the terms xG, shots on goal, and possession mean in this prediction?
xG (expected goals) measures the scoring opportunities created. Shots on goal indicate offensive effectiveness, and possession reflects control of the ball during the match. All these factors are key to the analysis.
9. How do player injuries and suspensions affect the prediction?
Injuries and suspensions to key players directly affect the team's ability to perform on the field. The absence of Guevara and Pacheco, for example, weakens Alavés' defense.
10. Should I risk betting on this match?
While Villarreal's victory seems like a safe option, risky bets, such as over 2.5 goals, can also be a good option due to the unpredictable nature of football. However, it is always advisable to bet responsibly.
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