
Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction – March 13, 2026
Expected result: Villarreal victory with main bet on “Both teams will score”
Alavés
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Villarreal
Alavés
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Villarreal
Alavés analysis
Alavés faces matchday 28 of La Liga in 16th place, just two points away from the relegation zone. Their main objective is to stay in the category and the latest results show difficulty: five games without victories, with just two points added.
Last matches
- Levante 2:0 Alavés (Out)
- Valencia 3:2 Alavés (Out)
- Alavés 2:2 Girona (Home)
- Sevilla 1:1 Alavés (Out)
- Alavés 0:2 Getafe (Home)
Key statistics
| Parameter | Alavés | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 53.6% | 51.1% |
| Shots on goal | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Fouls | 16.8 | 15.2 |
| yellow cards | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Team rating
- Shape: 4/10
- Attack: 5/10
- Defense: 5/10
- Motivation: 7/10
Villarreal analysis
Villarreal has had a good performance in La Liga, occupying third place with 54 points after 27 games. Their recent results are positive, highlighting the 2:1 victory against Elche and the only defeat against Barcelona 4:1.
Last matches
- Villarreal 2:1 Elche
- Barcelona 4:1 Villarreal
- Villarreal 2:1 Valencia
- Levante 0:1 Villarreal
- Villarreal 4:1 Espanyol
Team rating
- Shape: 8/10
- Attack: 8/10
- Defense: 7/10
- Motivation: 9/10
Head to head comparison
In the last 5 direct confrontations, Villarreal has shown clear superiority, with victories in three of the five games and an average of goals scored of 1.82 compared to 1.35 for Alavés.
Goal statistics
| Equipment | Average goals scored | Average goals conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 1.35 | 1.82 |
| Villarreal | 1.82 | 1.35 |
Bet levels
- Main: Both teams will score
- Sure: Victory for Villarreal
- Risky (high fee): Alavés victory
Goal prediction
- More than 1.5 goals in the match: 90% probability
- More than 2.5 goals: 60% probability
- Less than 3.5 goals: 70% probability
Key factors
- Alavés without victories in the last 5 games and low offensive efficiency
- Villarreal with high motivation and stable offensive performance
- Recent history favorable to Villarreal in direct confrontations
- Injuries and lineups: Alavés is expected to play with its base lineup, while Villarreal may include slight rotation after the Europa League
Frequently asked questions (FAQ):
- How is this forecast made? Statistics from Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored are used, analyzing results, xG, shots, possession, injuries and recent trends.
- Why do I make this prediction? Based on technical analysis, historical performance and team motivation; Villarreal has clear superiority in form and attack.
- What happens if the prediction does not come true? Risks include refereeing errors, unexpected injuries or poor efficiency; We recommend bets with risk management.
- Is it safe to bet on Villarreal's victory? It is the most reliable bet, but there is never absolute certainty; It is recommended to manage your betting capital.
- What is the highest risk bet? Alavés' victory, due to their current form and recent results.
- What does the goal statistics indicate? Villarreal has an average of 1.82 goals, Alavés 1.35, indicating a tendency towards games with goals from both sides.
- How does it affect team motivation? Alavés needs points to avoid relegation, Villarreal seeks to consolidate its position; This influences intensity and results.
- Should I bet live? It can be useful to observe the first 20 minutes and adjust according to the dynamics of the game.
- What role do alignments play? Injuries and strategic breaks impact performance; It is recommended to review before starting.
- Are external factors considered? Yes, weather, location and public are integrated into the technical and probabilistic analysis.
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