Belal Muhammad Vs Ian Machado Gary, November 22, 2025

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UFC Prediction: Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Gary, November 22, 2025

Ian Machado Gary's victory, recommended bet with odds of 1.36

The long awaited encounter between Belal Muhammad and Ian Machado Gary in the UFC welterweight category is not only a momentous fight, but a unique opportunity to analyze the strengths and weaknesses of both fighters. This November 22 in Doha, Qatar, they will face each other in a duel that could define the future of both in the division. Below, we'll delve into the stats, the form, and how to place informed bets.

Analysis of the fighters

Belal Muhammad

Country: United States

Current form

Belal Muhammad, after losing his title in May to Jack Della Maddalena, faces a crossroads. In his last fight, he tried to take the fight to his field by facing a feared striker, which took its toll on him, showing his fatigue and failures in his takedown attempts. This 37-year-old has a tally of 24 wins and 4 losses, currently occupying second place in the welterweight rankings.

Muhammad's Hitting Accuracy Rate: 43%.

Interesting betting trends

Building long fights, favors his striking rivals.
Risk of wear and tear in final rounds.

Ian Machado Gary

Country: Ireland

Current form

Ian Machado Gary, at 28 years old, is in his best shape. In his last fight he showed a lethal combination of pace and technique, dismantling Carlos Prates. Despite suffering a previous loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov, he made his opponent work hard, demonstrating his ability. With 20 wins and only one loss, Gary occupies sixth position in the welterweight rankings.

Gary's Hitting Accuracy Rate: 54%.

Interesting betting trends

Better distance management in combat.
High hit evasion rate.

Forecast and bets

Ian Machado Gary's victory at quota 1.36. In this fight, it is essential to consider several factors. Gary's 10 centimeter height difference and fighting style make him an uncomfortable opponent for Muhammad, who will have to constantly chase him. Gary's angle capture and constant movement make him a tough fighter to catch.

Gary has demonstrated an impressive technical level, evidenced in his performance against Prates, where he landed 126 significant blows, 86 of which impacted his rival's head. Muhammad, although he can maintain a high pace, often pays the price by taking hits in his attempt to control the fight.

Style Comparison and Key Statistics

Statistics	Belal Muhammad	Ian Machado Gary
Victories	24	20
Defeats	4	1
Accuracy Rate	43%	54%
Significant hits per minute	3.6	4.77

Bet Risks

Recent instability in the form of Muhammad.
Losses of key players in the support team.
Low effectiveness in the use of defensive strategies.

With the history and trends at play, our recommendation is to place bets in favor of Ian Machado Gary. His ability to manage distance and take advantage of opportunities in his favor positions him as the possible winner of the match.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What has been Belal Muhammad's recent performance? He has shown instability after losing his title, with a questionable fighting approach in his last few bouts.
Is Ian Machado Gary favorite to win? Yes, the analyzes and statistics favor him, especially in terms of his hitting accuracy and defensive techniques.
How many fights has each one won? Muhammad has 24 wins and Gary has 20 wins.
How does height affect this fight? Gary being significantly taller can create difficulty for Muhammad in terms of range and strategy.
What factors can influence the result? The physical conditions of the fighters and the tactical approach are key. Muhammad will have to adapt in short periods.
Are there betting trends for this fight? The effectiveness of the shots and distance control are categories to take into account when betting.
What has the history of direct confrontations been like? This will be the first meeting between both fighters.
What is the current betting odds? The recommended odds for Gary's victory is 1.36.
Where can I find more information about betting? You can review our resources on previous fight analysis and predictions.
How can I make a responsible bet? Always set a limit and bet only what you are willing to lose.