Borussia Dortmund Vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Bundesliga, January 13, 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Bundesliga, January 13, 2026

Dortmund seeks to consolidate its position in the Top 4 against a Werder in need of points. Our main bet: Dortmund's victory with a handicap.

Borussia Dortmund

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Werder Bremen

German football lovers, welcome! The Bundesliga returns with an unmissable clash this January 13, 2026. The Signal Iduna Park will be the stage where Borussia Dortmund will host Werder Bremen on matchday 17. The locals, with their sights set on securing their place in the Champions League, face a Werder that is desperately seeking to get away from the danger zone. Let's analyze this match in depth and discover the best options to bet on.

Team analysis

Borussia Dortmund: The strength at home

Current Form

Borussia Dortmund comes into this match with ups and downs. Their last match, a 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, left a bittersweet taste. Those led by Edin Terzić showed defensive fragility, something unusual in their fiefdom.

However, Signal Iduna Park is a fortress. Dortmund have not lost at home so far this season in the Bundesliga. In fact, along with Bayern Munich, they are the only teams that maintain this impressive streak.

His ability to open the scoring is remarkable. In four consecutive games, Dortmund has been the first to score. However, the lack of forcefulness to maintain the advantage has been a recurring problem. “We need to be more solid in defense and make the most of our opportunities,” declared coach Terzić after the draw against Eintracht.

Casualties and Possible Alignments

* Casualties: Ramy Bensebaini is with his team, and Julian Ryerson is out due to injury.
* Possible XI: Kobel; Meunier, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Can, Sabitzer, Brandt; Reus, Malen, Füllkrug.

The absence of Bensebaini and Ryerson presents a challenge for Terzić, who will have to readjust the defense. The possible inclusion of Ian Maatsen could provide freshness and dynamism to the left back. The rest of the team would remain without major surprises, with the Malen-Füllkrug duo seeking to pierce the rival defense.

Team Rating

* Shape: 7/10
* Stroke: 8/10
* Defense: 6/10
* Motivation: 9/10

Werder Bremen: Looking for consistency

Current Form

Werder Bremen arrives in Dortmund in a delicate situation. Their last match was postponed due to adverse weather conditions, adding uncertainty to their form. However, their recent series of results is not encouraging: five games without a victory in the Bundesliga.

The board has tried to strengthen the attack with the loan of young striker Jovan Milošević from Partizan. “Milošević is a player with a lot of potential. We hope he can contribute goals and solutions in attack”said Werder Bremen sporting director Frank Baumann.

However, the casualties continue to be a headache for coach Ole Werner. Werder Bremen currently occupies 12th place in the table, with 17 points, and urgently needs to add to avoid complications with relegation.

Casualties and Possible Alignments

* Casualties: Amos Pieper, Anthony Jung and Nicolai Rapp are injured. There is also the doubt of Jens Stage.
* Possible XI: Pavlenka; Stark, Veljkovic, Friedl; Weiser, Bittencourt, Stage, Lynen, Deman; Ducksch, Borré.

The numerous casualties will force Werner to improvise in the lineup. The defense will be especially affected, which could compromise their chances of containing Dortmund's attack. The offensive responsibility will fall on the Ducksch-Borré duo, who must show their best version to generate danger.

Team Rating

* Shape: 5/10
* Stroke: 6/10
* Defense: 5/10
* Motivation: 7/10

Detailed Statistical Analysis

Recent History (Last 5-10 Matches)

Borussia Dortmund:

* 09.01.26 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (3-3): A round-trip match with defensive errors.
* 19.12.25 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (2-0): Solid victory at home.
* 14.12.25 vs Freiburg (1-1): Agonizing draw with a goal on the hour mark.
* 10.12.25 vs Bodo/Glimt (2-2): Draw in Champions League, showing lack of forcefulness.
* 07.12.25 vs Hoffenheim (2-0): Dominance and victory without setbacks.

Werder Bremen:

* 04.01.26 vs St. Pauli (0-0): Friendly without goals, little offensive inspiration.
* 12.20.25 vs Augsburg (0-0): Lackluster draw, problems in game creation.
* 14.12.25 vs Stuttgart (0-4): Conclusive defeat, evident defensive fragility.
* 07.12.25 vs Hamburg (2-3): Defeat in a disputed match, specific errors.
* 11.29.25 vs Colonia (1-1): Draw with little flavor, lack of ideas in attack.

Direct Confrontations

* 01/25/25: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
* 08/31/24: Werder Bremen 0-0 Borussia Dortmund
* 09.03.24: Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
* 10.20.23: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
* 11.02.23: Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund have dominated the recent clashes, although Werder Bremen have managed to scratch some ties. In general, the matches between these two teams are usually disputed and with goals.

Recent Trends

* Borussia Dortmund have scored in 9 of their last 10 home games.
* Werder Bremen have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 away games.
* In 6 of the last 7 direct confrontations, both teams have scored.

Key Match Factors

Betting Levels

Main Bet

* Forecast: Borussia Dortmund victory with handicap -1.5
* Share: 1.97
* Justification: Dortmund is very strong at home, and Werder Bremen arrives with numerous casualties and a worrying state of form.

Safe Bet

* Forecast: Borussia Dortmund scores more than 1.5 goals
* Share: 1.50
* Justification: Dortmund has a powerful attack and plays at home, where they usually score easily.

Risk Bet (High Odds)

* Forecast: Borussia Dortmund wins 3-1
* Share: 12.00
* Justification: A probable result taking into account Dortmund's attacking strength and Werder Bremen's defensive weaknesses.

Detailed Forecast

Considering all the factors analyzed, my prediction for this match is a victory for Borussia Dortmund. The locals have the obligation to add three points to continue climbing positions in the table, and their strength at home is a determining factor.

Werder Bremen, for their part, arrive with numerous casualties and a worrying state of form. Although they will try to fight back, I think Dortmund will be superior and will win with a difference of at least two goals.

Additional Recommendations

* Betting on the over 2.5 goals is also an interesting option, taking into account Dortmund's offensive potential and Werder Bremen's defensive weaknesses.
* Consider the option of both teams scoring, since direct confrontations are usually open and with goals.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. How is this forecast made?

The methodology used combines statistical analysis (Flashscore/Sofascore/Whoscored data) with the tactical evaluation of the teams. Factors such as current form, losses, home/away performance, head-to-heads and recent trends are considered.

2. Why do I make this prediction?

My reasoning is based on Borussia Dortmund's superiority at home, their need to score points to secure their place in the Champions League and Werder Bremen's numerous losses, which weaken their defense and offensive capacity.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

Football is unpredictable, and there are always risks. Unexpected variables such as last-minute injuries, referee errors or a surprising performance by Werder Bremen could alter the result. In case the prediction does not come true, it is important to remain calm and analyze the reasons to learn from the experience.

4. What type of statistical data is used?

Possession data, shots on goal, corners, fouls, yellow cards, goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and other relevant indicators are used.

5. How do injuries influence the prognosis?

Injuries are a crucial factor. The importance of injured players and how their absence can affect the team's performance is evaluated.

6. Are weather conditions considered?

Yes, adverse weather conditions can influence the development of the match and the performance of the players.

7. How important are direct confrontations?

Head-to-head matches provide valuable insight into how teams have behaved in the past and what kind of dynamics have been established.

8. How is the rating of the teams determined?

The rating of the teams is based on a subjective evaluation of their form, attack, defense and motivation, taking into account statistical data and tactical analysis.

9. Is the psychological factor taken into account?

Yes, the psychological factor is important. The motivation of the teams, their emotional state and the pressure they may feel are considered.

10. What is the objective of this forecast?

The goal is to provide useful and accurate information to help bettors make informed decisions. However, it is important to remember that sports betting carries risks and that everyone is responsible for their own decisions.

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