Euroleague March 13, 2026

Olimpia Milano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction: Euroleague March 13, 2026

Close victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv with a handicap (+4.5) – Main prediction: Bet on the visitors

Olympia Milano

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Maccabi Tel Aviv

Introduction to the match

The Milan Arena will witness a crucial duel in the Euroleague this March 13. Olimpia Milano, after an important victory over Barcelona, ​​receives the fearsome Maccabi Tel Aviv, which arrives with an impressive streak of nine consecutive victories in all competitions.

The locals will try to stay in the fight for play-in positions, while the visitors seek to consolidate their position in the standings. This match marks a decisive moment for both teams in the final stretch of the season.

Current situation of Olimpia Milano

The Italian club is going through a transition phase. After defeating Barcelona 87-84 in a vibrant match, the team led by Ettore Messina has regained confidence. Zach LeDay was the hero that night with 16 points and 7 rebounds, showing his ability to be decisive in key moments.

The Milanese team occupies eleventh position with a balance of 14-15 in the Euroleague. The squad is taking small steps towards stability, although consistency remains its main challenge. They play at home, where they have shown greater solidity this season.

Last 5 games of Olimpia Milano

• 03/09/26 – Serie A: Olimpia Milano 88-86 Cantu – Victory
• 02/26/26 – Euroleague: Olimpia Milano 87-84 Barcelona – Victory
• 02/15/26 – Serie A: Hapoel TA 92-86 Olimpia Milano – Defeat
• 02/13/26 – Euroleague: Olimpia Milano 78-96 Dubai – Defeat
• 02/09/26 – Serie A: Universo Trento 71-76 Olimpia Milano – Victory

Record against Maccabi Tel Aviv

In the last three direct confrontations, Olimpia Milano has won. However, Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown the ability to adapt on Italian soil in previous seasons.

Current status of Maccabi Tel Aviv

The Israeli team is in a sweet moment. With nine consecutive victories in all tournaments, Maccabi Tel Aviv has become one of the most feared teams in the competition. The Israeli club is firmly established in the play-in zone, with four consecutive victories in the Euroleague.

The team led by Sfairopoulos has shown exceptional character in tight matches. They beat Partizan (95-93), Red Star (83-82), Bayern (111-106) and Monaco (91-86), all of them games decided in the final moments.

Last 5 matches of Maccabi Tel Aviv

• 02/22/26 – Euroleague: Maccabi TA 111-80 Ironi Nes Ziona – Victory
• 02/09/26 – Euroleague: Maccabi TA 111-106 Bayern – Victory
• 06/02/26 – Euroleague: Maccabi Raanana 89-106 Maccabi TA – Victory
• 03/02/26 – Euroleague: Crvena Zvezda 82-83 Maccabi TA – Victory
• 02/26/26 – Euroleague: Maccabi TA 95-93 Partizan – Victory

Detailed statistical analysis

Performance comparison

Advanced metrics (xG and possession)

Olimpia Milano averages 82 points per game with an estimated xG of 79.5. His field goal percentage is around 46%, with an average of 35% on three-pointers. The defense allows 84 points on average, which indicates problems at the rim.

For its part, Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 88 points per game with an xG of 86.2. The Israeli team leads the Euroleague in pace of play and possessions per game. Their defense has improved significantly, allowing just 79 points on average over the last five games.

Equipment rating system

Rating Olimpia Milano

• Form: 7/10 – Regaining confidence after victory against Barcelona
• Offense: 7/10 – LeDay and Shields lead the offense
• Defense: 6/10 – Inconsistent at key moments
• Motivation: 8/10 – Needs wins for play-in

Rating Maccabi Tel Aviv

• Form: 10/10 – Nine consecutive wins
• Attack: 9/10 – Best attack in the competition
• Defense: 8/10 – Great defensive improvement
• Motivation: 9/10 – Mental leader of the group

Injuries and possible alignments

Olympia Milano

Olimpia Milano has its entire squad available for this match. The possible starting lineup would include Shavon Shields, Zach LeDay, Devon Hall, Nikola Mirotic and Kevin Pangos. The bench provides depth with Billy Baron and other important players.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

The Israeli team arrives without significant injuries. The likely team: Wade Baldwin IV, Lorenzo Brown, Jamel Morris, Rafi Menco and Anton Ponkrashov. The bench has quality depth, which allows it to maintain the rhythm throughout the game.

Betting options

Main bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv Handicap (+4.5) @ 1.73

Considering Maccabi's streak and its ability to compete in tight matches, the positive handicap is attractive. The visitors have shown character in difficult matches and could stay within the margin.

Safe bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv win @ 2.50

For more conservative bettors, the away win offers value. Maccabi's form is impeccable, and their nine-win streak suggests they can achieve victory outright.

Risk Bet: Total points over 176.5 @ 1.93

Both teams present powerful attacks. Maccabi averages 88 points, while Olimpia generates 82. The combined average suggests a high-scoring game.

Summary of available quotas

Forecast Conclusion

Maccabi Tel Aviv arrives at a spectacular moment, with nine consecutive victories that demonstrate its current superiority. Although Olimpia Milano has the advantage of playing at home and showed a great game against Barcelona, ​​the consistency of the visiting team suggests that they can achieve victory or come very close.

Our forecast favors Maccabi Tel Aviv with a handicap (+4.5) points, considering their exceptional form and ability to win close matches. The motivation to stay in the top positions also works in their favor.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

1. What is the best prediction for this match?

The recommended main bet is the Maccabi Tel Aviv handicap (+4.5) points at odds 1.73. This option combines value with security, as the Israeli team has proven to maintain competitive matches even away from home.

2. Why choose the Maccabi handicap instead of direct victory?

The handicap offers better value because it protects us against a possible defeat by up to four points. Given Maccabi's close match history (several decided by 1-2 points), this margin provides additional coverage.

3. How is this forecast made?

The analysis uses data from multiple specialized statistical sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and WhoScored. More than 20 indicators are evaluated per match, including recent form, advanced statistics (xG, possession, shots), head-to-head history and contextual factors such as injuries and motivation.

4. How important is the home factor in this match?

Olimpia Milano has a 57% win rate at home this season. However, Maccabi Tel Aviv also shows a 60% winning rate on the road, suggesting that the home factor could be neutralized by the good form of the visiting team.

5. What are the key statistics to review?

The most relevant metrics include: points average (Olimpia 82, Maccabi 88), three-point percentage (Olimpia 35%, Maccabi 38%), rebounds per game and assist ratio. xG (expected goals) is also important to evaluate the quality of opportunities created.

6. Are there players injured or suspended?

As of the date of the analysis, both teams have a full squad. There are no injuries reported that could significantly affect the development of the match.

7. Why is Maccabi a favorite according to the odds?

The betting houses reflect Maccabi's nine-game winning streak and its best position in the standings. The odds of 2.50 for the away win suggest approximately a 40% probability, which could represent value given the team's form.

8. What happens if the prediction does not come true?

Every bet carries risks. Unexpected variables include: different rest days between teams, refereeing decisions, unexpected tactical changes or psychological factors. Responsible betting is recommended and never wager more than you can afford to lose.

9. What is the best type of bet for beginners?

For bettors with less experience, the safest bet would be the victory of Maccabi Tel Aviv (odds 2.50). It is easier to predict than handicaps or totals markets, and offers a more interesting return than simple favorite bets.

10. Where can I find more Euroleague match analysis?

Our site offers detailed daily analysis of the most relevant matches of the Euroleague, NBA and other basketball competitions. You can subscribe to our notifications to receive the latest forecasts directly to your email.