
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Prediction – February 26, 2026
Fiorentina will look to confirm their advantage with a home victory. Recommended bet: Fiorentina victory with more than 2.5 goals.
Fiorentina
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Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
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Jagiellonia
Fiorentina will host Polish Jagiellonia in the second leg of the Conference League round of 16 on February 26 at the Artemio Franchi stadium in Florence. With a 3-0 lead obtained in the first match in Bialystok, the Italian team seeks to close the pass to the next phase with a home victory, while Jagiellonia faces an almost impossible mission, given the goal difference. In this analysis, we will explore the current form of both teams, their most relevant statistics and the best bets for this matchup.
Fiorentina analysis
Fiorentina comes into this match after a somewhat unstable streak in Serie A, where they have struggled to maintain their position at the bottom of the table. However, in the last league match they achieved a key victory against Pisa by 1-0, which allowed them to temporarily leave the relegation zone. With 24 points, it is in 16th position in the standings.
In the Conference League, the violets have shown good form, achieving three wins and a draw in the group stage, which allowed them to advance to the playoffs. In the first match against Jagiellonia, Fiorentina clearly dominated, winning 3-0. Now, playing at home, their objective will be to secure passage without surprises. Their home form has been solid in European competitions, where they have only lost one game in the last 5.
Fiorentina statistics
- Possession: 47.5%
- Shots on goal: 14.2 per game
- Corners: 4.6 per game
- Faults: 10.8 per game
- Yellow cards: 2.2 per game
Fiorentina's last 5 games
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 02/23/26 | Series A | Fiorentina 1:0 Pisa |
| 02/19/26 | Conference League | Jagiellonia 0:3 Fiorentina |
| 02/14/26 | Series A | Like 1:2 Fiorentina |
| 02/07/26 | Series A | Fiorentina 2:2 Torino |
| 01/31/26 | Series A | Napoli 2:1 Fiorentina |
Analysis of Jagiellonia
Poland's Jagiellonia finds itself in a somewhat complicated situation, as the team has reached the round of 16 of the Conference League with a significant disadvantage. Although they have been solid in the Ekstraklasa, where they are leaders of the Polish league, the team has struggled in international competitions. In the first match against Fiorentina, they were beaten 3-0 at home, making their chances of a comeback in Florence minimal.
Jagiellonia has been unbeaten in its last 5 league games, but in European competitions its performance has been inconsistent. Despite their good form in Poland, facing a team of Fiorentina's quality has proven to be a difficult task. In their last match in the Ekstraklasa, they drew 1-1 against Radomiak, which shows that they do not always manage to impose their dominance in the most demanding matches.
Jagiellonia Statistics
- Possession: 50.6%
- Shots on goal: 7.4 per game
- Corners: 4.2 per game
- Faults: 15.8 per game
- Yellow cards: 1.8 per game
Jagiellonia's last 5 games
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 02/22/26 | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia 1:1 Radomiak |
| 02/19/26 | Conference League | Jagiellonia 0:3 Fiorentina |
| 02/14/26 | Ekstraklasa | Krakow 0:0 Jagiellonia |
| 02/07/26 | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia 4:1 Lublin Engine |
| 01/31/26 | Ekstraklasa | Widzew 1:3 Jagiellonia |
Statistics comparison
| Statistics | Fiorentina | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 47.5% | 50.6% |
| Shots on goal | 14.2 | 7.4 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 15.8 |
| yellow cards | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Best recommended bets
- Main bet: Fiorentina victory with more than 2.5 goals.
- Safe bet: Fiorentina victory.
- Risky bet: Both teams will score.
Frequently asked questions (FAQ):
- How is the forecast made? The prediction is based on the analysis of both teams' last matches, performance statistics, xG, and betting trends. Reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored are used to obtain the most current data.
- Why do I make this prediction? Fiorentina showed clear superiority in the first match and maintained a solid performance at home. Jagiellonia has little chance of overcoming three goals in Italy, which reinforces the prediction of a local victory.
- What will happen if the prediction does not come true? The risks include an unexpected performance by Jagiellonia or an atypical result in football. It is advisable to manage bets with caution and consider more conservative bets if you want to minimize risk.
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