Friendly Match Prediction: Morocco Vs. Paraguay

Friendly match prediction: Morocco vs. Paraguay – March 31, 2026

Prediction: Both teams will score. Main bet: Morocco wins.

Morocco

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Paraguay

Analysis of Morocco

Recent career

Morocco comes to this friendly match with a recent record that inspires confidence. After its historic performance in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, the Moroccan team has shown solidity on its path to qualifying for the 2026 World Cup, remaining undefeated in the qualifiers. A notable milestone was their participation in the 2026 African Cup of Nations, where, despite losing the final to Senegal 0-1, a subsequent appeal by the African Football Committee awarded them victory due to the withdrawal of Senegalese players from the field in protest of a refereeing decision. This event highlights the team's resilience and ability to overcome adversity.

Key statistics

In their last 10 games, Morocco has shown a consistent scoring trend. The team has averaged 1.8 goals per game, with 60% of matches exceeding the 1.5 goal line and 40% exceeding 2.5 goals. Their defense has also been solid, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per game. Ball possession is around 40.6%, with an average of 8.2 shots per game, of which 2.4 go on goal. Corners and fouls remain at moderate levels, with 2.2 and 13.2 respectively.

Rating system

• Shape: 8/10
• Attack: 8/10
• Defense: 7/10
• Motivation: 9/10

Morocco's last 5 games:

• 03/27/26 Friendly: Morocco 1 – 1 Ecuador
• 18.01.26 Senegal 0 – 3 Morocco
• 14.01.26 Nigeria 2 – 4 Penalties Morocco
• 09.01.26 Cameroon 0 – 2 Morocco
• 04.01.26 Morocco 1 – 0 Tanzania

Analysis of Paraguay

Recent career

Paraguay is emerging as a serious contender in the fight for a place in the 2026 World Cup in North America. In the South American qualifying phase, the team accumulated 28 points, ensuring its presence among the top six. Their last friendly match resulted in a 1-0 victory against Greece, with the decisive goal scored early in the second half. Previously, Paraguay had defeated Mexico 2-1, demonstrating its ability to obtain positive results against rivals of various types.

Key statistics

In its last 10 games, Paraguay has averaged 1.2 goals per game, with 40% of games exceeding the 1.5 goal line and 0% exceeding 2.5 goals. Their defense has been less robust than Morocco's, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Ball possession is slightly lower, around 35.2%, with an average of 6.8 shots per game, of which 4 go on goal. The team tends to receive more fouls (14.6) and yellow cards (2.2) compared to Morocco.

Rating system

• Shape: 7/10
• Attack: 6/10
• Defense: 5/10
• Motivation: 7/10

Paraguay's last 5 games:

• 03/27/26 Friendly: Greece 0 – 1 Paraguay
• 19.11.25 Friendly: Mexico 1 – 2 Paraguay
• 15.11.25 Friendly: USA 2 – 1 Paraguay
• 14.10.25 Friendly: South Korea 2 – 0 Paraguay
• 10.10.25 Friendly: Japan 2 – 2 Paraguay

Equipment comparison

Scoring tendencies

Both teams show a tendency to score goals, although Morocco seems to have a slight advantage in terms of consistency and scoring volume. In their last 20 games, Morocco has exceeded 0.5 goals in 100% of the matches, while Paraguay has done so in 90%. The line of more than 1.5 goals has been exceeded in 80% of the matches for Morocco and in 60% for Paraguay. The difference is accentuated in the line of more than 2.5 goals, where Morocco has had a 40% success rate compared to Paraguay's 40%, but in more recent matches, Morocco has shown a greater propensity for games with more goals.

Defensive stats

Morocco's defense appears more solid, conceding fewer goals on average. In their last 20 games, Morocco has conceded an average of 0.4 goals, while Paraguay has conceded 0.8 goals. This is reflected in the betting: the probability of both teams scoring is 20% for Morocco in their last 20 games, and 35% for Paraguay. The bet on “Both teams will score” has odds of 1.90, which suggests that the bookmakers see a reasonable probability of both teams scoring.

Direct confrontations

The history of direct confrontations between Morocco and Paraguay is limited. The only recent record is a 0-0 draw in a friendly match on September 27, 2022. This result does not offer a clear indication of the superiority of one over the other, but it does suggest that matches between them can be tactically close.

Quota analysis

The odds for this match reflect a slight preference for Morocco. The Moroccan victory is paid at an average of 2.07, while the victory of Paraguay is around 3.70, and the draw at 3.35. The over 2.5 goals line has a odds of 2.12, which indicates that a game with quite a few goals is expected. The bet on “Both teams will score” stands at 1.90, making it an attractive option.

Recommended Betting Levels

• Main Bet: Both teams will score (odd 1.90). Given the scoring ability of both teams and the tendency towards open games, this is a good value bet.
• Safe Bet: Morocco wins or draws (Double Chance) (approximate odds 1.30). Morocco arrives with a better streak and a more solid defense, which makes it a favorite.
• Risk Bet (High Odds): Morocco wins and both teams score (approximate odds 3.50). If Morocco imposes its offensive game and Paraguay manages to score, this odds offers great return potential.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

1. What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

My methodology is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. I consider the teams' recent form, their attack and defense statistics, home and away performance, results of the last 10-15 matches, and scoring tendencies. The motivation of the teams and their history of direct confrontations are also evaluated. Practical experience and knowledge of international football complement the quantitative analysis.

2. Why are both teams predicted to score?

This prediction is based on the observation that both Morocco and Paraguay have demonstrated consistent scoring ability in their recent matches. Morocco, in particular, has had an outstanding offensive performance, while Paraguay has managed to score in the majority of their recent matches. Although Paraguay may have defensive weaknesses, their ability to generate scoring opportunities and the friendly nature of the match, which often encourages more open play, suggest that both teams will have chances to score.

3. What will happen if the prediction of “both teams will score” does not come true?

If the prediction that both teams will score does not come true, it means that one of the teams failed to score. In this scenario, the bet would be lost. However, it is important to remember that sports betting carries inherent risks. Unexpected variables, such as early expulsions, injuries, or exceptional defensive performance by one of the teams, can influence the outcome. If the main prediction does not come true, it is recommended to review the secondary or lower risk bets, such as the double chance in favor of Morocco, which offers a greater probability of success.

4. How is the rating of the teams determined?

Team ratings are calculated by weighing several key factors. “Form” evaluates recent performance and consistency. “Attack” measures scoring ability and offensive effectiveness. The “Defense” analyzes defensive solidity and the number of goals conceded. “Motivation” considers the importance of the match, the mood of the team and the short and long-term objectives. Each factor is scored on a scale of 1 to 10, providing an overview of the team's potential.

5. What type of bets are recommended for this match?

Three bet levels are recommended: the main one, which is “Both teams will score” due to its good value; the safe one, which is the double opportunity in favor of Morocco (win or draw) due to its high probability of success; and the risk one, which is “Morocco wins and both teams score”, offering a high quota for those seeking a greater return by assuming a calculated risk.

6. What is the importance of friendly matches for the preparation of teams?

Friendly matches are crucial for the teams' preparation. They allow coaches to try new tactics, evaluate the physical condition of players, give minutes to those who do not usually start and fine-tune team chemistry. Additionally, they are an opportunity for players to gain confidence and adapt to different playing styles. Although they do not have the same weight as official matches, their impact on cohesion and future performance is significant.

7. How does Morocco's recent history in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar influence its current performance?

Morocco's historic performance in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar has generated a boost of confidence and recognition worldwide. This translates into greater motivation and a sense of belonging to a successful team. Players feel more confident in their abilities and the pressure of expectations can be managed more effectively. This positive experience directly influences their current performance, making them a more formidable rival.

8. What can you expect from Paraguay's style of play?

Paraguay tends to be a combative and organized team, with a focus on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Although their scoring ability has been lower than Morocco's in recent times, they tend to be effective on the counterattack and take advantage of the opportunities presented to them. In friendly matches, they will likely seek to experiment with different schemes and players to find the optimal formula for future competitions.

9. How do bookmakers' odds affect when placing a bet?

Bookmakers' odds reflect the perceived probability of a specific outcome, based on statistical analysis and market opinion. While they are a useful guide, they do not guarantee the result. It is important to interpret them in conjunction with the party's own analysis. A high odds indicates a lower expected probability, but a higher return if correct, while a low odds suggests a higher probability, but a lower return.

10. What to do if the prediction does not come true and bets are lost?

If a prediction does not come true and bets are lost, it is essential to remain calm and not give in to frustration. It is important to remember that losses are part of the game. It is recommended to review the match analysis to identify possible errors or unforeseen factors. The key is to learn from experience, adjust the strategy if necessary and not try to recover losses impulsively. Responsible bankroll management is essential for long-term sustainability in sports betting.