Friendly Match Prediction: Senegal Vs Gambia

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Friendly match prediction: Senegal vs Gambia - March 31, 2026

Friendly match prediction: Senegal vs Gambia – March 31, 2026

Senegal prevails with authority against Gambia. Main bet: Senegal victory.

Senegal

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Gambia

Analysis of the Senegalese team

Senegal comes into this friendly match with high morale after their recent 2-0 victory against Peru.

Despite the controversy in the African Cup, where a result was annulled, the team has shown resilience and football quality.

The victory against Peru, with a fluid and effective game, confirms that Senegal is in good shape and motivated to maintain its positive streak.

The team will look to replicate that performance against Gambia, taking advantage of their defensive solidity and offensive potential.

Analysis of the Gambian team

Gambia, for its part, has not played any official match this year, its last match being a 2-2 draw against Kuwait last November.

This break could be a factor to consider, since the lack of competitive rhythm could affect their performance.

Gambia is characterized by an open and offensive style of play, seeking to score goals in most of its matches.

However, their recent record against Senegal is not favorable, having lost the last three head-to-head matches.

Statistics and trends

Last matches
Date Home Team Result Visiting Team Match Type
03/28/26 Senegal 2:0 Peru Friendly
01/18/26 Senegal 0:3 Morocco African Cup of Nations
01/14/26 Senegal 1:0 Egypt African Cup of Nations
01/09/26 Mali 0:1 Senegal African Cup of Nations
03/01/26 Senegal 3:1 Sudan African Cup of Nations
11/18/25 Kuwait 2:2 Gambia Friendly
10/14/25 Seychelles 0:7 Gambia World Cup Africa
10/10/25 Gambia 3:4 Gabon World Cup Africa
09/09/25 Gambia 2:0 Burundi World Cup Africa
09/05/25 Kenya 1:3 Gambia World Cup Africa

Performance in personal meetings
Confrontation Last 5 games Last 10 games Last 20 games
Senegal vs Gambia (Total Goals) More than 0.5: 100%
More than 1.5: 60%
More than 2.5: 40%
More than 3.5: 20%
More than 4.5: 0%
More than 5.5: 0%
More than 0.5: 100%
More than 1.5: 100%
More than 2.5: 80%
More than 3.5: 80%
More than 4.5: 40%
More than 5.5: 40%
More than 0.5: 95%
More than 1.5: 75%
More than 2.5: 50%
More than 3.5: 35%
More than 4.5: 25%
More than 5.5: 15%
Gambia vs Senegal (Total Goals) More than 0.5: 80%
More than 1.5: 40%
More than 2.5: 20%
More than 3.5: 0%
More than 4.5: 0%
More than 5.5: 0%
More than 0.5: 80%
More than 1.5: 50%
More than 2.5: 40%
More than 3.5: 10%
More than 4.5: 10%
More than 5.5: 10%
More than 0.5: 85%
More than 1.5: 55%
More than 2.5: 45%
More than 3.5: 25%
More than 4.5: 15%
More than 5.5: 5%

Goal statistics
Statistics Senegal (Last 5 matches) Gambia (Last 5 matches)
Average goals scored 3.0 0.0
Average goals conceded 0.0 3.0
Wins by shutout (%) 100% 0%
Scored in the 1st half (%) 100% 0%
Scored in the 2nd half (%) 100% 0%

Betting Trends (Senegal)
Bet Last 5 games Last 10 games Last 20 games
More than 2.5 goals 40% 20% 20%
Total score 1.5 goals 40% 40% 25%
Both teams will score 20% 20% 15%

Betting Trends (Gambia)
Bet Last 5 games Last 10 games Last 20 games
More than 2.5 goals 0% 60% 60%
Total score 1.5 goals 0% 60% 60%
Both teams will score 0% 40% 40%

Performance comparison (Home vs. Away)
Statistics Senegal (Home) Gambia (Away)
Annotated 1.2 0.5
Failed 0.8 0.4
Bet on Over 2.5 in the match 40% 30%
Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals 40% 30%
Bet on “Both teams will score” 20% 20%

Performance Comparison (General)
Statistics Senegal (Last 5 matches) Gambia (Last 5 matches)
Annotated 1.4 3.4
Granted 0.8 1.4
Bet on Over 2.5 in the match 40% 80%
Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals 40% 100%
Bet on “Both teams will score” 20% 60%

Performance comparison (Offensive)
Statistics Senegal (Last 5 matches) Gambia (Last 5 matches)
Annotated 2.2 2.0
Failed 0.7 1.3
Bet on Over 2.5 in the match 50% 60%
Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals 50% 60%
Bet on “Both teams will score” 20% 50%

Performance comparison (Defensive)
Statistics Senegal (Last 5 matches) Gambia (Last 5 matches)
Annotated 2.4 1.8
Failed 1.0 1.4
Bet on Over 2.5 in the match 50% 55%
Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals 55% 45%
Bet on “Both teams will score” 30% 60%

Match Odds

The bookmakers clearly favor Senegal, with odds of 1.17 for their victory, while the draw is paid at 5.20 and the Gambia's victory at 15.00.

The option of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 1.75, and under 2.5 goals at 2.05.

Betting house odds
Betting House P1 (Senegal) Draw P2 (Gambia) Total Plus 2.5 Total Minus 2.5 Bond
New live players 1.15 7.16 17.67 1.71 2.09 Free bet 100000
Live 1.14 6.55 14.90 1.70 2.07 Free bet €130
Live 1.18 6.40 15.00 1.73 2.02

Forecast and bets

Main bet: Senegal victory.

Safe bet: Senegal wins with a -1.5 handicap.

Risk bet (high odds): Senegal wins and both teams score.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

1. What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

My methodology is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. I consider the recent performance of both teams, their head-to-heads, goal statistics, betting trends and the current form of key players. Factors such as motivation, home team (although in friendlies it is less relevant) and any relevant news that could affect the match are considered.

2. Why is this specific prediction made?

The prediction of a Senegal victory is based on their recent convincing victory against Peru, their favorable record against Gambia and the apparent solidity they have shown. Gambia, despite its offensive potential, shows defensive weaknesses and a lack of competitive pace that Senegal can exploit.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

In the world of sports, surprises are always possible. If the prediction does not come true, it is due to unexpected variables such as a referee error, an unforeseen injury, an exceptional performance by the opposing team or a tactical change that was not anticipated. In these cases, it is recommended to manage the risk, not get carried away by frustration and learn from the experience for future bets.

4. How do you evaluate the form of the teams?

Teams' form is assessed by analyzing the results of their last 5 to 10 matches, paying attention not only to wins and losses, but also to the quality of opponents, the number of goals scored and conceded, and overall performance on the field.

5. What does the team rating system mean?

The rating system (ex: 8/10) is a subjective but informed score that I assign to each team in key categories such as Form, Attack, Defense and Motivation. A high score indicates outstanding performance in that area.

6. Are statistics of goals in previous matches considered?

Yes, goal statistics, both scored and conceded, are crucial. I analyze the average number of goals per game, the frequency of games with more or less than X goals, and the ability of both teams to score or keep a clean sheet.

7. How important are direct confrontations?

Direct confrontations are an important indicator, especially if they are repeated frequently. They show the dynamics between the two teams and how they usually perform when they face each other, although the current context (form, squad) is also vital.

8. How are the different betting options (main, safe, risk) determined?

The main bet is the one that I consider most probable and with good value. The safe bet seeks to minimize the risk, often with lower odds but a greater probability of success. The risk bet focuses on high odds, assuming greater risk for a possible significant reward.

9. Are betting house odds taken into account?

Yes, fees are an important factor. They reflect market perception and may indicate value if my analysis differs significantly from the probabilities implied by the odds.

10. What data sources are used for analysis?

I use data from recognized sports platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored, which provide detailed information on matches, player and team statistics, and historical results.


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