
Friendly match prediction: Senegal vs Gambia – March 31, 2026
Senegal prevails with authority against Gambia. Main bet: Senegal victory.
Senegal
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Gambia
Senegal
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Gambia
Analysis of the Senegalese team
Senegal comes into this friendly match with high morale after their recent 2-0 victory against Peru.
Despite the controversy in the African Cup, where a result was annulled, the team has shown resilience and football quality.
The victory against Peru, with a fluid and effective game, confirms that Senegal is in good shape and motivated to maintain its positive streak.
The team will look to replicate that performance against Gambia, taking advantage of their defensive solidity and offensive potential.
Analysis of the Gambian team
Gambia, for its part, has not played any official match this year, its last match being a 2-2 draw against Kuwait last November.
This break could be a factor to consider, since the lack of competitive rhythm could affect their performance.
Gambia is characterized by an open and offensive style of play, seeking to score goals in most of its matches.
However, their recent record against Senegal is not favorable, having lost the last three head-to-head matches.
Statistics and trends
| Date | Home Team | Result | Visiting Team | Match Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/28/26 | Senegal | 2:0 | Peru | Friendly |
| 01/18/26 | Senegal | 0:3 | Morocco | African Cup of Nations |
| 01/14/26 | Senegal | 1:0 | Egypt | African Cup of Nations |
| 01/09/26 | Mali | 0:1 | Senegal | African Cup of Nations |
| 03/01/26 | Senegal | 3:1 | Sudan | African Cup of Nations |
| 11/18/25 | Kuwait | 2:2 | Gambia | Friendly |
| 10/14/25 | Seychelles | 0:7 | Gambia | World Cup Africa |
| 10/10/25 | Gambia | 3:4 | Gabon | World Cup Africa |
| 09/09/25 | Gambia | 2:0 | Burundi | World Cup Africa |
| 09/05/25 | Kenya | 1:3 | Gambia | World Cup Africa |
| Confrontation | Last 5 games | Last 10 games | Last 20 games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal vs Gambia (Total Goals) | More than 0.5: 100% More than 1.5: 60% More than 2.5: 40% More than 3.5: 20% More than 4.5: 0% More than 5.5: 0% |
More than 0.5: 100% More than 1.5: 100% More than 2.5: 80% More than 3.5: 80% More than 4.5: 40% More than 5.5: 40% |
More than 0.5: 95% More than 1.5: 75% More than 2.5: 50% More than 3.5: 35% More than 4.5: 25% More than 5.5: 15% |
| Gambia vs Senegal (Total Goals) | More than 0.5: 80% More than 1.5: 40% More than 2.5: 20% More than 3.5: 0% More than 4.5: 0% More than 5.5: 0% |
More than 0.5: 80% More than 1.5: 50% More than 2.5: 40% More than 3.5: 10% More than 4.5: 10% More than 5.5: 10% |
More than 0.5: 85% More than 1.5: 55% More than 2.5: 45% More than 3.5: 25% More than 4.5: 15% More than 5.5: 5% |
| Statistics | Senegal (Last 5 matches) | Gambia (Last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Average goals scored | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals conceded | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Wins by shutout (%) | 100% | 0% |
| Scored in the 1st half (%) | 100% | 0% |
| Scored in the 2nd half (%) | 100% | 0% |
| Bet | Last 5 games | Last 10 games | Last 20 games |
|---|---|---|---|
| More than 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Total score 1.5 goals | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams will score | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Bet | Last 5 games | Last 10 games | Last 20 games |
|---|---|---|---|
| More than 2.5 goals | 0% | 60% | 60% |
| Total score 1.5 goals | 0% | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams will score | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| Statistics | Senegal (Home) | Gambia (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Annotated | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Failed | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Bet on Over 2.5 in the match | 40% | 30% |
| Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals | 40% | 30% |
| Bet on “Both teams will score” | 20% | 20% |
| Statistics | Senegal (Last 5 matches) | Gambia (Last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Annotated | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| Granted | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Bet on Over 2.5 in the match | 40% | 80% |
| Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals | 40% | 100% |
| Bet on “Both teams will score” | 20% | 60% |
| Statistics | Senegal (Last 5 matches) | Gambia (Last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Annotated | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Bet on Over 2.5 in the match | 50% | 60% |
| Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Bet on “Both teams will score” | 20% | 50% |
| Statistics | Senegal (Last 5 matches) | Gambia (Last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Annotated | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Failed | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Bet on Over 2.5 in the match | 50% | 55% |
| Bet on Ind. total 1.5 goals | 55% | 45% |
| Bet on “Both teams will score” | 30% | 60% |
Match Odds
The bookmakers clearly favor Senegal, with odds of 1.17 for their victory, while the draw is paid at 5.20 and the Gambia's victory at 15.00.
The option of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 1.75, and under 2.5 goals at 2.05.
| Betting House | P1 (Senegal) | Draw | P2 (Gambia) | Total Plus 2.5 | Total Minus 2.5 | Bond |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New live players | 1.15 | 7.16 | 17.67 | 1.71 | 2.09 | Free bet 100000 |
| Live | 1.14 | 6.55 | 14.90 | 1.70 | 2.07 | Free bet €130 |
| Live | 1.18 | 6.40 | 15.00 | 1.73 | 2.02 | – |
Forecast and bets
Main bet: Senegal victory.
Safe bet: Senegal wins with a -1.5 handicap.
Risk bet (high odds): Senegal wins and both teams score.
Frequently asked questions (FAQ)
1. What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?
My methodology is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. I consider the recent performance of both teams, their head-to-heads, goal statistics, betting trends and the current form of key players. Factors such as motivation, home team (although in friendlies it is less relevant) and any relevant news that could affect the match are considered.
2. Why is this specific prediction made?
The prediction of a Senegal victory is based on their recent convincing victory against Peru, their favorable record against Gambia and the apparent solidity they have shown. Gambia, despite its offensive potential, shows defensive weaknesses and a lack of competitive pace that Senegal can exploit.
3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
In the world of sports, surprises are always possible. If the prediction does not come true, it is due to unexpected variables such as a referee error, an unforeseen injury, an exceptional performance by the opposing team or a tactical change that was not anticipated. In these cases, it is recommended to manage the risk, not get carried away by frustration and learn from the experience for future bets.
4. How do you evaluate the form of the teams?
Teams' form is assessed by analyzing the results of their last 5 to 10 matches, paying attention not only to wins and losses, but also to the quality of opponents, the number of goals scored and conceded, and overall performance on the field.
5. What does the team rating system mean?
The rating system (ex: 8/10) is a subjective but informed score that I assign to each team in key categories such as Form, Attack, Defense and Motivation. A high score indicates outstanding performance in that area.
6. Are statistics of goals in previous matches considered?
Yes, goal statistics, both scored and conceded, are crucial. I analyze the average number of goals per game, the frequency of games with more or less than X goals, and the ability of both teams to score or keep a clean sheet.
7. How important are direct confrontations?
Direct confrontations are an important indicator, especially if they are repeated frequently. They show the dynamics between the two teams and how they usually perform when they face each other, although the current context (form, squad) is also vital.
8. How are the different betting options (main, safe, risk) determined?
The main bet is the one that I consider most probable and with good value. The safe bet seeks to minimize the risk, often with lower odds but a greater probability of success. The risk bet focuses on high odds, assuming greater risk for a possible significant reward.
9. Are betting house odds taken into account?
Yes, fees are an important factor. They reflect market perception and may indicate value if my analysis differs significantly from the probabilities implied by the odds.
10. What data sources are used for analysis?
I use data from recognized sports platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored, which provide detailed information on matches, player and team statistics, and historical results.
https://guru-gambling.com/pronostico-del-partido-amistoso-senegal-vs-gambia-31-de-marzo-de-2026/
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