Le Havre Vs Auxerre Prediction – Ligue 1

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Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction - Ligue 1 - April 5, 2026

Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction – Ligue 1 – April 5, 2026

Auxerre victory with both teams scoring.

Le Havre

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Auxerre

Analysis of Le Havre

Current form

Le Havre is going through a critical moment in Ligue 1. The team has gone five consecutive games without winning, with four defeats in this period. Their scoring ability has been especially worrying, since in four of these five games they failed to score. The only exception was a match against Paris Saint-Germain, where the goal came after an opposing player was sent off.

Performance at home

Despite its general bad streak, Le Havre has shown a more competitive side in its stadium. They have suffered just one defeat in their last six home games, suggesting that the home field factor could be an ally.

Disqualifications and injuries

The team suffers from Touré's injury, which could affect its defensive solidity or its ability to generate play.

Interesting betting trends

Le Havre is winless in its last five games. The team has also failed to score in four of its last five games.

Provisional lineup

Dio – Nego, Lloris, Sangante, Vinette – Ebonog, Gourna-Douat, Ndiaye – Mambimbi, Samatta, Boufal.

Team rating: Le Havre

  • Shape: 3/10
  • Attack: 4/10
  • Defense: 5/10
  • Motivation: 5/10

Analysis of Auxerre

Current form

Auxerre comes into this match after a surprising victory against Brest. Despite playing with a man less from the sixth minute, the team managed to come back and win 3-0. This victory broke a streak of four games without winning and allowed them to close the gap with the play-off qualification zone.

Away performance

Auxerre have proven to be a team capable of competing away from home, losing only one of their last four away games. However, they have conceded goals in their last three games away from home.

Sanctions and injuries

Auxerre has Devernois and Koulibaly missing due to injury, in addition to León's suspension. These absences could reduce their squad depth.

Interesting betting trends

Auxerre have only lost one of their last four away games. In its last three games, the team has conceded goals.

Provisional lineup

From Persen – Sy, Diomande, Oko, Mensah – Danois, Owusu – Febvre, Namaso, Oppegor – Sinai oko.

Team rating: Auxerre

  • Shape: 6/10
  • Attack: 6/10
  • Defense: 5/10
  • Motivation: 7/10

Equipment comparison

Statistics Le Havre Auxerre
Average possession 51.2% 41.4%
Average shots on goal 10.8 10
Average shots on goal (goals) 2.2 3.8
Average corners 3.8 4.8
Average fouls 11.8 12.8
Average yellow cards 1.8 1.6

Last matches: Le Havre

  • 03/22/26 Ligue 1: Paris 3: 2 Le Havre
  • 03/15/26 Ligue 1: Le Havre 0: 0 Lyon
  • 03/08/26 Ligue 1: Brest 2: 0 Le Havre
  • 02/28/26 Ligue 1: Le Havre 0: 1 PSG
  • 02/22/26 Ligue 1: Nantes 2: 0 Le Havre

Last matches: Auxerre

  • 03/21/26 Ligue 1: Auxerre 3: 0 Brest
  • 03/13/26 Ligue 1: Marseille 1: 0 Auxerre
  • 03/07/26 Ligue 1: Auxerre 0: 0 Strasbourg
  • 01/03/26 Ligue 1: Lorient 2: 2 Auxerre
  • 02/22/26 Ligue 1: Auxerre 0: 3 Rennes

Head-to-head history

  • 10/26/25 Ligue 1: Auxerre 0: 1 Le Havre
  • 04/05/25 Ligue 1: Auxerre 1: 2 Le Havre
  • 01/09/24 Ligue 1: Le Havre 3: 1 Auxerre
  • 05/07/22 Ligue 2: Le Havre 1: 2 Auxerre
  • 12/21/21 Ligue 2: Auxerre 2: 3 Le Havre

Goal analysis

Le Havre (last 5 games)

  • More than 0.5 goals: 80%
  • More than 1.5 goals: 60%
  • More than 2.5 goals: 20%
  • More than 3.5 goals: 20%

Auxerre (last 5 games)

  • More than 0.5 goals: 80%
  • More than 1.5 goals: 60%
  • More than 2.5 goals: 30%
  • More than 3.5 goals: 10%

Goals per time statistics

Le Havre

  • Scored in the 1st half: 60%
  • Scored in the 2nd half: 80%

Auxerre

  • Scored in the 1st half: 40%
  • Scored in the 2nd half: 60%

Betting trends

Main bet: Auxerre victory

Despite Auxerre's recent victory, their overall performance and Le Havre's losing streak suggest the visitors have an advantage. Auxerre's ability to compete away from home, combined with Le Havre's defensive fragility, makes a visiting victory the most likely bet.

Safe bet: Both teams will score

Le Havre, playing at home and in need of points, will probably look to score. On the other hand, Auxerre has shown scoring ability, even in difficult games. The tendency of both teams to concede goals in their last matches reinforces this bet.

Risk bet (high odds): Auxerre victory with exact result 1-2

Considering Auxerre's tendency to win close games and Le Havre's difficulty in keeping a clean sheet, a 1-2 result in favor of Auxerre presents an attractive odds and a real possibility.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

1. What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

My methodology is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. Current team form, home and away performance, head-to-head history, goal statistics (scored and conceded), betting trends and information on absences due to injury or suspension are evaluated. These factors are weighted to determine the probability of different outcomes.

2. Why is an Auxerre victory predicted?

The prediction of an Auxerre victory is based on several key factors. Despite Le Havre's negative streak, their performance at home is decent. However, Auxerre's recent victory, obtained in adverse circumstances, demonstrates its resilience and fighting capacity. Additionally, Auxerre have proven to be a competitive team away from home, while Le Havre have struggled to score and keep a clean sheet. Auxerre's motivation to move away from the relegation zone is also an important factor.

3. What will happen if Auxerre's prediction of victory does not come true?

In the world of sports, surprises are possible. If the prediction does not come true, it could be due to unexpected variables such as an exceptional performance by Le Havre, refereeing errors, or bad fortune for Auxerre. In case of a different result, it is recommended to analyze the causes of the failure to adjust future predictions. If Le Havre manages to score, it could be a draw, which would still not fulfill the prediction of a visitor victory. If Le Havre wins, it would be a significant surprise given their current run.

4. What does the bet “Both teams will score” mean?

The bet “Both teams will score” is fulfilled if both Le Havre and Auxerre manage to score at least one goal during the match.

5. What is the importance of team rating?

The team rating (Form, Attack, Defense, Motivation) is a simplified metric that summarizes the current state and strengths of each team. It helps you get a quick view of your potential and compare your relative performance.

6. How do you analyze the last 5-10 games?

The results of each team's last 5 to 10 matches are examined to identify trends in terms of wins, losses, draws, goals scored, goals conceded, and overall performance in different scenarios (home/away, against strong/weak opponents).

7. What are “interesting betting trends”?

They are recurring patterns or statistics in a team's matches that may be of interest to bettors, such as unbeaten streaks, scoring streaks, or the frequency of certain types of results.

8. What information is included in the “Equipment Comparison” section?

This section presents key statistical data side by side to facilitate direct comparison between the two teams, such as possession, shots on goal, corners, fouls, etc.

9. What type of bets are recommended?

Three bet levels are offered: the main bet (the most probable), the safe bet (with lower risk) and the risk bet (with high odds and lower probability).

10. How is the “risk bet (high odds)” determined?

This bet is based on less likely scenarios but with significant profit potential. It may involve specific exact results, unexpected goalscorers, or combinations of events that bookmakers value at high odds.


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