
Levante vs Alavés Prediction – Matchday 26 – 27 February 2026
Alavés Victory or Draw with Goals. Main Bet: Double Chance X2 and Over 1.5 Goals.
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Alavés
Levant
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Alavés
Match Analysis: Levante vs Alavés
Levante will host Alavés on February 27 on matchday 26 of the Spanish Championship. Will the “frogs” be able to play a strong game and get the three points, or will the “glorious” take the points away from them? In this forecast we analyze in detail the state in which the teams face the head-to-head confrontation, identify current trends and prepare reliable bets.
How will the teams play?
Levante, after a good performance in the Second Division last season that earned them direct promotion to the First Division, has not managed to strengthen its squad significantly. They relied heavily on the players who achieved promotion, which positioned them as one of the main candidates for relegation. The problems did not take long to arrive, obtaining their first point on the fourth day and falling to the bottom of the table.
Change of Course and Recent Drop in Form
The club management decided to change the coach at the end of the first round. Luis Castro managed to improve the team's performance, both in quality of play and results. However, Levante has lost its form again lately. Currently, they occupy penultimate place with 18 points, seven from safety, a critical disadvantage that increases the risk of relegation.
Recent Worrying Results
After a 0:3 defeat against Barcelona on the last matchday, Levante has four consecutive defeats and a total of 15 in the season. The situation is alarming and requires a radical change in dynamics to avoid relegation.
Important casualties in the Levant
Arriaga is suspended, while Brujas and Martínez are injured. These absences reduce the team's ability to face the crucial match against Alavés.
Betting Trends for Levante
- Levante has lost its last four games.
- Levante has not scored in its last three games.
- Levante have lost to Alavés in their last two matches.
Approximate Alignment of Levante
Ryan – Tolyan, De la Fuente, Moreno, Sánchez – Ragube, Olasagasti – Tunde, Álvarez, Cortés – Eyong.
Analysis of Alavés: Stability and Fight for Permanence
Alavés has managed to successfully solve the problem of remaining in the First Division in recent years. Although at the beginning of the current season they once again appeared as potential relegation candidates, they were not clear outsiders. The “glorious” completed the first period at a good level, adding valuable points that allowed them to stay away from the bottom zone.
Unstable Performance but with Key Points
In the first round, Alavés lacked stability, but they managed to give up several very decent periods, staying out of the relegation zone. Eduardo Coudet has managed to retain his position as coach.
Participation in the Copa del Rey
It should be noted that Alavés reached the quarterfinals of the Copa del Rey, where they lost a dramatic match against Real Sociedad, falling just short of the semifinals.
Current Situation in the League
Currently, Alavés occupies 14th place in the table with 27 points. However, they are only three points away from the relegation zones, which indicates that the risk of falling into them is still present.
Last Match and Series without Victories
On the last day, Alavés hosted Girona and, despite having a chance of victory, they managed to save a 2:2 draw with great difficulty in the final moments. This winless series has extended to three games.
Losses in Alavés
Kosic is injured, which represents a significant loss for the team.
Betting Trends for Alavés
- In the last four games, Alavés has not won (two losses and two draws).
- In the last three games against Levante, Alavés has not lost (one win and two draws).
- In five of the last six games, Alavés has scored.
Estimated Alavés Lineup
Sivera – Castro, Tenaglia, Parada, Enríquez – Pérez, Ibáñez, Blanco, Aleña – Boyer, Martínez.
Latest Match Statistics
Head to Head: Levante vs Alavés
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 02/22/26 | First Division | Barcelona 3:0 Levante |
| 02/18/26 | First Division | Levante 0:1 Villarreal |
| 02/15/26 | First Division | Levante 0:2 Valencia |
| 02/08/26 | First Division | Athletic Bilbao 4:2 Levante |
| 01/31/26 | First Division | Levante 0:0 Atlético de Madrid |
| 01/23/26 | First Division | Levante 3:2 Elche |
| 02/23/26 | First Division | Alavés 2:2 Girona |
| 02/14/26 | First Division | Sevilla 1:1 Alavés |
| 02/08/26 | First Division | Alavés 0:2 Getafe |
| 02/04/26 | King's Cup | Alavés 2:3 Real Sociedad |
| 01/30/26 | First Division | Espanyol 1:2 Alavés |
| 01/25/26 | First Division | Alavés 2:1 Betis |
| 08/16/25 | First Division | Alavés 2:1 Levante |
| 06/17/23 | Second – Playoffs | Levante 0:1 Alavés |
| 06/11/23 | Second – Playoffs | Alavés 0:0 Levante |
| 04/29/23 | Second | Levante 2:0 Alavés |
| 12/12/22 | Second | Alavés 0:2 Levante |
| 05/15/22 | First Division | Levante 3:1 Alavés |
Season Statistics
| Statistics | Levant | Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 44.6% | 54.8% |
| Total Shots | 9 | 12 |
| Shots on goal | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 4 | 4.2 |
| Fouls Committed | 11 | 16.6 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Form and Performance Analysis
Levante is going through a critical moment. Their last four consecutive defeats, without having scored a goal in three of them, reflect a deep crisis of results and play. The defense appears vulnerable and the attack lacks punch. The pressure to remain is maximum, and the need to score points is imperative, but the current dynamic is very unfavorable.
Alavés: Seeking Consolidation
Alavés, for its part, has proven to be a team capable of competing in the First Division. Although their current streak is three games without winning, they have managed to score important points throughout the season. Their ability to score goals, as seen in the last game against Girona, gives them an advantage over Levante in low hours.
Key Factors for Prognosis
Levante's motivation to get out of the relegation zone is high, but their recent performance is very poor. Alavés, although they are not in their best moment, are more solid and have proven to be a difficult opponent for Levante in their last matches.
Equipment Rating
- Levant: Form 3/10, Attack 4/10, Defense 3/10, Motivation 7/10.
- Alavés: Form 5/10, Attack 6/10, Defense 5/10, Motivation 6/10.
Recommended Betting Levels
- Main Bet: Double Chance X2 (Alavés does not lose) and More than 1.5 Goals. The relative solidity of Alavés and Levante's need to take risks could lead to goals.
- Safe Bet: Double Chance X2 (Alavés does not lose). Levante is on a very negative streak.
- Risk Bet (High Odds): Exact Result 1:2 in favor of Alavés. Levante needs to score, but Alavés has the capacity to win.
Trend Analysis and Statistics
The head-to-head statistics show recent balance, with Alavés unbeaten by Levante in their last three games. Alavés' ability to score in most of their recent matches contrasts with Levante's scoring drought.
Additional Considerations
Relegation pressure can play an important role. Levante puts their lives on the line in every game, which could translate into greater intensity, but also nervousness. Alavés, although with less urgency, knows that a victory would take them considerably away from danger.
Final Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, the losses and the trends, Alavés starts with a slight advantage. The bet on the double chance X2 combined with more than 1.5 goals seems the most balanced option, since Levante could score, but victory or a draw for Alavés is more likely.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?
Our methodology is based on an exhaustive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. We evaluate the teams' recent form, results of the last 5-10 matches, goals scored and conceded, Expected Goals (xG), shots on goal, ball possession, numerical superiority, injuries and possible lineups. We combine this data with our practical experience in sports analysis to provide an informed forecast.
Why is this specific prediction made?
This prediction is based on Levante's clear negative trend, evidenced by their recent consecutive defeats and their difficulty in scoring goals. Alavés, although they are not in their best moment, show greater solidity and have proven to be a difficult rival for Levante in direct confrontations. The combination of Levante's weakness and Alavés' ability to score leads us to recommend the double chance X2 with more than 1.5 goals.
What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
In the world of sports betting, there is no such thing as absolute certainty. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to remember that there are unexpected variables, such as referee decisions, individual errors or moments of inspiration from players. We recommend managing your bankroll responsibly and not betting more than you can afford to lose. Betting is a form of entertainment and should be approached with caution.
How is team form evaluated?
Team form is assessed by analyzing the results of their last 5 to 10 matches. Factors such as wins, draws, losses, goals for and against, as well as general performance in those matches are considered. The quality of the rivals they have faced is also taken into account.
How important are injuries and sanctions?
Injuries and suspensions to key players can have a significant impact on a team's performance. Important absences are analyzed and how they could affect the team's strategy and strength in the match is evaluated.
What are Expected Goals (xG)?
Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the probability of a shot on goal converting into a goal. It is calculated based on a number of factors, such as the distance of the shot, the angle, the type of assist and the position of the goalkeeper. xG gives us a more precise idea of a team's offensive and defensive performance, beyond the goals scored or received.
How is the recommended main bet determined?
The main bet is determined by seeking the balance between the probability of success and the odds offered. Bets are prioritized that, according to our analysis, have a high probability of being fulfilled, but without ruling out options with more attractive odds if the risk is acceptable.
What does “Double Chance X2” mean?
“Double Chance X2” means that the bet will be a winner if the visiting team (in this case, Alavés) wins or draws the match. It is a safer option than betting directly on a team's victory.
Why is “Over 1.5 Goals” recommended?
“Over 1.5 Goals” is recommended based on the tendency of both teams to score or concede goals, and Levante's need to seek victory, which could open the match. Alavés' ability to score is also considered.
What is considered a “Risk Bet (High Odds)”?
A high-odds risk bet is one that offers a considerably higher payout, but with a lower probability of success. It is usually based on less probable but possible outcomes, such as a specific exact score or a victory for a team considered an underdog.
Pronóstico Levante vs Alavés – Jornada 26 – 27 de Febrero de 2026
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