Prediction: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov – Miami Masters Semifinals, March 20, 2026

Expected result: Victory for Karen Khachanov with a handicap (-3). Recommended main bet: Khachanov at 1.74.

Roberto Bautista Agut

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Karen Khachanov

In the exciting semifinal of the Miami Masters, Roberto Bautista Agut will face Karen Khachanov in a duel that promises to be intense and full of action. Both tennis players are in different moments of form and their last matches offer us a good perspective to predict the result of this match.

Team analysis: Roberto Bautista Agut

Roberto Bautista Agut has had a difficult path in this tournament, but he has shown his ability by beating James Duckworth in an exciting match where both sets were decided in tie-breaks. Bautista, at 37 years old, has shown great mental strength, although his statistics on hard courts are somewhat negative, with only three wins and four losses in the last tournaments.

Recent performance

03/19/26: 2-0 victory against James Duckworth
03/13/26: 2-0 victory against Valentin Roye
03/12/26: 2-0 victory against David Goffin
03/07/26: 1-2 loss against Jack Draper
03/05/26: 2-1 victory against Fabián Marozan

Key statistics

Statistics	Worth
Average number of games per match	22.5
Expected goals (xG)	0.85
Shots on goal	4.2
Possession	47%

Team Analysis: Karen Khachanov

On the other hand, Karen Khachanov has had a somewhat irregular start to the season, but her potential is still high. After losing in Dubai and Indian Wells, he managed to advance in Miami, showing that he can adapt to the circumstances of the tournament. His best performance on this court was reaching the semifinals in 2023, which gives him confidence for this matchup.

Recent performance

03/12/26: 0-2 defeat against Arthur Rinderknech
03/10/26: 2-1 victory against Felix Auger-Aliassime
03/07/26: 1-2 defeat against Joao Fonseca
02/25/26: 0-2 loss against Jenson Brooksby
02/24/26: 2-1 victory against Alexander Shevchenko

Key statistics

Statistics	Worth
Average number of games per match	20.8
Expected goals (xG)	0.90
Shots on goal	5.0
Possession	53%

Trend comparison

In his recent history, the trend shows that Khachanov has been more consistent in his matches, and his aggressive playing style can put Bautista Agut in trouble. The Spaniard's experience is valuable, but his ability to handle pressure in this type of match is crucial.

Equipment rating system

Equipment	Shape	Stroke	Defense	Motivation
Roberto Bautista Agut	7/10	6/10	7/10	8/10
Karen Khachanov	8/10	7/10	6/10	9/10

Forecast and bets

Considering the current performance of both players and the statistics, our main bet is in favor of Khachanov with a handicap of -3, which is currently offered at an odds of 1.74. Bautista Agut may be a tough competitor, but his defensive style of play might not be enough against Khachanov who is looking to impose his pace and control the game from the start.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

1. How is the forecast made?

The forecast is based on the analysis of recent performance data, statistics from previous matches and the context of each player in the tournament.

2. Why do I make this prediction?

The prediction is based on the current form of both players and their ability to adapt to different playing styles, as well as their head-to-head history.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

Risks include possible injuries or changes in players' strategy. It is always recommended to bet responsibly and consider other factors that may influence the result.