Hockey Prediction: Severstal vs. Sibir – January 13, 2026
Sibir seeks to surprise Severstal at his house. We are betting on a close match with Sibir covering the handicap.
Severstal
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Sibir
Severstal
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Sibir
The ice of Cherepovets will witness a crucial clash in the KHL when Severstal hosts Sibir on January 13, 2026. The home team, led, will seek to consolidate its position in the Western Conference, while Sibir, under the leadership of will try to get closer to the playoff spots in the East. Can Sibir stand up to the leader of the West? Let's analyze it.
In-depth Equipment Analysis
Severstal: The Steel Fortress at Home
Severstal has had an outstanding season, leading the Western Conference with 61 points in 45 games, tied with Lokomotiv but surpassing them in tiebreakers. Although their performance was inconsistent in early winter, the team found its rhythm in late December. In January, they beat Lada (4-2), lost to Spartak (1-2) and achieved important victories against Dinamo Minsk (4-3) and Torpedo (7-6).
The match against Torpedo was an offensive display, with Severstal taking an early lead thanks to goals from David Dumbadze, Alexander Skorenov and Ruslan Abrosimov. Despite allowing Torpedo to get closer on the scoreboard, Severstal maintained its composure and secured the victory.
Ruslan Abrosimov is the key player in Severstal's attack, leading the team's scoring charts with 36 points (20 goals and 16 assists).
Important losses: Alexander Samoilov is currently injured.
Key Betting Trends:
* Severstal averages 31 shots on goal per game.
* They win 47.6% of faceoffs.
Team Rating:
* Shape: 8/10
* Attack: 8/10
* Defense: 7/10
* Motivation: 9/10
Sibir: Siberian Hope Reborn
Sibir currently occupies ninth position in the Eastern Conference, fully involved in the fight for the playoffs. With 39 points in 45 games, tied with Amur, the situation is very tight. Despite having a negative goal difference, Sibir has found ways to consistently score points. In January, they lost to Avangard (2-5), beat Admiral (5-2) and came close to defeating Lokomotiv (2-3 in extra time). However, they suffered a tough defeat against Traktor (1-4).
In the match against Traktor, Sibir was outmatched despite Daniil Valitov's goal. They were unable to recover and ended up losing the match.
Egor Alanov is Sibir's offensive leader, with 24 points (4 goals and 20 assists).
Important losses: e will not travel to Cherepovets.
Key Betting Trends:
*Sibir averages 26 shots on goal per game.
* They make an average of 15 tackles per game.
Team Rating:
* Shape: 6/10
* Attack: 6/10
* Defense: 6/10
* Motivation: 7/10
Key Statistics and Head-to-Heads
Below is a summary of the key statistics and head-to-heads between Severstal and Sibir:
Severstal's last 5 games:
| Date | Party | Result |
| ————– | ——————— | ——– |
| 10.01.2026 | Severstal vs. Torpedo | 7-6 |
| 08.01.2026 | Severstal vs. Dinamo Minsk | 4-3 |
| 06.01.2026 | Severstal vs. Spartak| 1-2 |
| 03.01.2026 | Severstal vs. lada | 4-2 |
| 12/30/2025 | Ak Bars vs. Severstal | 4-3 |
Sibir's last 5 matches:
| Date | Party | Result |
| ————– | —————– | ——– |
| 01/11/2026 | Traktor vs. Sibir | 4-1 |
| 08.01.2026 | Sibir vs. Locomotive | 2-3 (OT) |
| 06.01.2026 | Sibir vs. Admiral | 5-2 |
| 04.01.2026 | Sibir vs. Avangard | 2-5 |
| 12/30/2025 | Amur vs. Sibir | 23 |
Direct Confrontations (Last 6):
| Date | Party | Result |
| ————– | —————– | ——– |
| 09/22/2025 | Sibir vs. Severstal | 2-4 |
| 08/23/2025 | Sibir vs. Severstal | 1-3 |
| 10/19/2024 | Sibir vs. Severstal | 2-4 |
| 09/12/2024 | Severstal vs. Sibir | 2-5 |
| 01/26/2024 | Severstal vs. Sibir | 4-0 |
| 11/28/2023 | Sibir vs. Severstal | 1-2 |
Statistics Analysis:
| | Severstal | Sibir |
|—|—|—|
| Victories (regulation time) | 60% | 40% |
| Goals Scored (average) | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (average) | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Shots on goal (average) | 31 | 26 |
Key Match Factors:
* Severstal Home Performance: Severstal is a very solid team playing on their own court.
* Sibir Defensive Upgrade: Sibir has shown signs of improvement defensively in recent games.
* Offensive Duel Abrosimov vs. Alanov: The performance of the offensive leaders will be crucial for the outcome of the match.
## Bet Levels
Here we present different bet levels, from the safest to the most risky:
* Main Bet: Sibir with Asian handicap (+1.5) – Odds: 1.80. We believe that Sibir can stand up and avoid a heavy defeat.
* Safe Bet: More than 4.5 goals in the match – Odds: 2.00. Taking into account the offensive capacity of both teams, we expect a game with several goals.
* Risk Bet (High Odds): Sibir victory – Odds: 4.80. If you are looking for a high odds, betting on Sibir's victory could be interesting, although risky.
## Forecast and Betting
Based on our analysis, we believe that the match between Severstal and Sibir will be closer than the odds indicate. Sibir has improved in recent weeks and will look to surprise Cherepovets.
Forecast: Victory for Severstal, but with Sibir covering the handicap.
Recommended Bets:
1. Main Bet: Sibir with Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds 1.80.
2. Secondary Bet: More than 4.5 goals in the match at odds 2.00.
Sibir has shown notable improvement, and although Severstal is a difficult opponent, we believe that the visitors have the ability to compete and keep the match close. Furthermore, the tendency of both teams to score goals suggests that we could see a game with several goals.
Do you dare to bet?
## Match coefficients
The bookmakers give odds of 1.60 for Severstal, 4.60 for a tie, and 4.80 for Sibir. The total of over 5.5 goals is offered at 2.00, the total of under at 1.80
| Betting House | P1 | X | P2 | TM 4.5 | TB 4.5 |
| :—————- | :—- | :—- | :—- | :—– | :—– |
| New players | 1.60 | 4.60 | 4.80 | — | — |
| Bonus $100 | 1.64 | 4.40 | 4.55 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| Bonus €130 | 1.60 | 4.60 | 4.80 | 1.51 | 2.46 |
| Bonus $850 | 1.61 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 1.51 | 2.43 |
| Bonus €5,300 | 1.60 | 4.60 | 4.80 | 1.52 | 2.5 |
| Bonus $100 | — | — | — | — | — |
## Additional Predictions
* First goal: Severstal – Odds: 1.75. They tend to start out very plugged in at home.
* Sibir's total shots on goal: Over 24.5 – Odds: 1.90. We believe that Sibir will look to create offensive opportunities.
## Final Reflection
The match between Severstal and Sibir promises to be an exciting and disputed encounter. While Severstal has the advantage of playing at home and has a more experienced team, Sibir has shown notable improvement and will look to spring a surprise. Our main bet focuses on the Asian handicap (+1.5) in favor of Sibir, trusting in his ability to compete and keep the match tight.
Remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the game.
##
Frequently asked questions (FAQ):
1. How is this forecast prepared (Methodology)?
This prediction is based on a comprehensive analysis of the statistics of both teams, including their performance in recent matches, head-to-head matches, injuries, playing trends and key match factors. We use data from various statistical sources (Flashscore/Sofascore/Whoscored) to evaluate the form of the teams, their offensive and defensive capacity, and their motivation. We also consider betting market trends and the odds offered by bookmakers.
2. Why do I make this prediction?
I make this prediction based on my experience analyzing hockey games and my knowledge of the KHL. I think Sibir has shown notable improvement in recent weeks and has the ability to stand up to Severstal. Furthermore, the Asian handicap (+1.5) offers a good betting opportunity with an attractive odds.
3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
Sports betting always involves risk, and there is no guarantee that a prediction will come true. Unexpected factors such as injuries, refereeing errors or simply luck can influence the result of a match. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to stay calm and avoid chasing losses. I recommend betting responsibly and establishing a betting bankroll to manage risk.
4. What tactical and statistical data have been considered?
The following tactical and statistical data have been considered:
* Recent team performance: Victories, losses, goals scored and conceded in the last 5-10 games.
* Direct confrontations: Results of the last matches between both teams.
* Offensive stats: Shots on goal, shot conversion percentage, goals scored on power play and shorthanded.
* Defensive stats: Goals received, shots blocked, penalties committed.
* Injuries and suspensions: Significant losses that may affect the performance of the equipment.
* Game Trends: Teams' playing style (offensive, defensive, balanced), tactics used.
5. How does the location affect the prognosis?
The home field can influence the forecast, since Severstal has the advantage of playing on its own court and having the support of its fans. However, Sibir has shown an improvement in their away performance in recent games, which reduces the impact of the home field in this case.
6. How important are player losses?
Losses of key players can significantly affect team performance. In this case, the loss of Alexander Samoilov in Severstal and the losses in Sibir could influence the result of the match.
7. What is the safest bet for this match?
The safest bet for this match is “Over 4.5 goals”, given the recent scoring form of both teams and their tendency to generate offensive opportunities.
8. What should I keep in mind when placing my own bets?
When placing your own bets, I recommend thoroughly researching the teams, analyzing their statistics and playing tendencies, and considering key match factors. It is also important to bet responsibly and set a budget to avoid significant losses.
9. Is this forecast infallible?
No, no forecast is infallible. Sports betting involves risk and the outcome of a match can be affected by unpredictable factors.
10. Where can I find more sports betting analysis and advice?
You can find more analysis and advice on sports betting on various specialized websites, betting forums and social networks. I also invite you to join our Telegram channel: [https://t.me/casino_guru](https://t.me/casino_guru)
Good luck with your bets!
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