Turkish Cup Prediction: Antalyaspor Vs Samsunspor

Turkish Cup Prediction: Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor – March 5, 2026

Expected result and recommended bet: Samsunspor beats Antalyaspor. Main bet: Samsunspor victory

In the match on the fourth day of the Turkish Cup, Antalyaspor will face Samsunspor in a key duel for both teams. How will this meeting end? Below we detail our forecast based on the analysis of the latest matches, statistics and trends.

Team analysis:

Antalyaspor:

Antalyaspor comes into the match with a negative streak that has left the team without points in the Turkish Cup. In the last round, they suffered a crushing 0-6 defeat against Igdir, reflecting the difficult situation the club is going through. Since the start of the tournament, the team has failed to score goals and has conceded 8 goals, which leaves them in last place in their group with no chance of advancing to the playoffs. Furthermore, it seems that they will concentrate more on the national championship, leaving aside their participation in the Cup.

Samsunspor:

Samsunspor, meanwhile, are in much stronger shape. The team is the leader of its group in the Turkish Cup, with a positive streak that includes recent victories such as the 2-0 against Bodrumspor. In the Super League, Samsunspor does not aspire to compete for European places, but remains firm in seventh position, just a few points away from qualifying for the next edition of international competitions. In the Cup, they also advanced to the round of 16 of the Conference League after eliminating Shkendija with a 5-0 aggregate score.

Antalyaspor last 5 matches:

03/01/26 – Antalyaspor 2:2 Fenerbahce
02/22/26 – Kayserispor 1:0 Antalyaspor
02/13/26 – Antalyaspor 3:1 Samsunspor
02/07/26 – Karagumruk 1:0 Antalyaspor
03/02/26 – Igdir 6:0 Antalyaspor

Samsunspor's last 5 matches:

01/03/26 – Samsunspor 0:0 Gaziantep
02/26/26 – Samsunspor 4:0 Shkendia
02/22/26 – Fatih Karagumruk 0:0 Samsunspor
02/19/26 – Shkendia 0:1 Samsunspor
02/13/26 – Antalyaspor 3:1 Samsunspor

Statistics comparison:

Statistics	Antalyaspor	Samsunspor
Average possession	39.4%	62.4%
Shots on goal	6	11
Corners	3.8	5
Fouls	11	14.8
yellow cards	2.2	1.6

Recent team performance:

Antalyaspor has shown unstable form and has not achieved any important victories in its last matches. On the other hand, Samsunspor has maintained a more consistent performance, obtaining significant victories, which places them as favorites for this match. Despite their poor run, Antalyaspor are striving to improve, but their options seem limited against a superior Samsunspor at the moment.

Forecast:

The analysis suggests that Samsunspor has every advantage to win this match. The recent form, ball possession and offensive ability of the two teams lead us to predict a victory for Samsunspor. Although Antalyaspor could surprise, their recent difficulties and lack of goals make them vulnerable. The best bet in this match would be a victory for Samsunspor, but we also consider a bet on goals, especially over 2.5, due to the tendencies of both teams to score and concede goals.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

How is this forecast made?

The forecast is prepared using data from sports platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored, analyzing the statistics of the last matches of both teams, their trends in goals, possession, shots and other key aspects.

Why do I make this prediction?

The prediction is based on the comparison between the teams' recent performance and their statistics. Samsunspor have shown more consistent and solid form, while Antalyaspor have struggled to get good results.

What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

There are unforeseen variables such as injuries to key players, unexpected tactical decisions or last-minute changes that can influence the result. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to adjust expectations and not risk large sums on risky bets.

What is the best bet for this match?

The main bet is the victory of Samsunspor, but we also consider bets on goals, such as more than 2.5 goals in the match, since both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals.

Is it possible for Antalyaspor to win the match?

Although Antalyaspor has potential, its recent defeats and lack of offensive force make it less of a favorite. However, football can always surprise.

What risks exist in this forecast?

The main risks are tactical surprises or lineup changes that could affect the teams' performance, especially by Antalyaspor who could try to improve their form.