Umar Nurmagomedov Vs Deiveson Figueredo Prediction

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueredo Prediction – January 25, 2026

Umar Nurmagomedov is emerging as a favorite to win in less than 2.5 rounds. Recommended bet: Under 2.5 rounds

Umar Nurmagomedov

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Deiveson Figueredo

On January 25, 2026, mixed martial arts fans will be attentive to the confrontation in the bantamweight category between Umar Nurmagomedov and Deiveson Figueredo, which will take place in Las Vegas. This fight has generated great expectations due to the careers of both fighters and the circumstances surrounding their latest performances.

Analysis of Umar Nurmagomedov

30-year-old Russian fighter Umar Nurmagomedov has proven to be a formidable force in the bantamweight division. With a professional record of 19 wins and only one loss, his fighting style is characterized by effective control on the ground and a remarkable ability to impose his rhythm in fights. His last loss to Merab Dvalishvili was over a year ago, and he has since regained confidence by beating Mario Bautista in October 2025.

Nurmagomedov's Recent Statistics

• Victories: 19 (2 KOs, 10 decisions, 7 submissions)
• Defeats: 1
• Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss

Form and Motivation

Umar's current form is excellent, with a rating system of 8/10 for motivation. His ability to adapt and learn from his previous experiences makes him a difficult opponent for any fighter. Furthermore, his desire to fight for the title after Dvalishvili's fall increases his motivation.

Analysis by Deiveson Figueredo

On the other hand, Deiveson Figueredo, originally from Brazil and aged 38, has had a more bumpy road in recent times. With a record of 25 wins and 5 losses, he has been a UFC champion, but his performance has been inconsistent. The injury suffered in his previous fight against Corey Sandhagen affected his performance, and although he achieved a victory against Montel Jackson, the decision was disputed.

Recent Figueredo Statistics

• Wins: 25 (9 KOs, 7 decisions, 9 submissions)
• Defeats: 5
• Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses

Form and Motivation

Figueredo's form is questionable, with a rating of 5/10 for motivation. His recent injuries have impacted his performance and it is unlikely that he will be able to keep up with Nurmagomedov for the entire fight.

Style Comparison

Prediction and Recommended Bets

After analyzing the recent performance of both fighters and their styles, we believe that the best bet is to bet on Umar Nurmagomedov to win in less than 2.5 rounds. Umar's control ability and his strength on the ground allow him to dominate the fight. Although Figueredo is an experienced and durable fighter, it seems unlikely that he will be able to stop Nurmagomedov's advance.

Betting Levels

• Main Bet: Less than 2.5 rounds (1.50)
• Safe Bet: Nurmagomedov victory by decision (2.00)
• Risk Bet: Nurmagomedov wins by submission in the second round (5.00)

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

How is the forecast made?

The forecast is based on the analysis of data and statistics from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored, evaluating the recent performance of the fighters and their fight history.

Why do I make this prediction?

This prediction is based on the technical analysis of the combat style of both fighters, as well as their recent performance. Practical experience in monitoring these events has also influenced the prognosis.

What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

If the prediction does not come true, it is important to consider that surprises can occur in mixed martial arts. It is advisable to diversify your bets and not risk more than you are willing to lose.

What are the keys to betting on MMA?

Keys include analyzing the fighting style, the physical shape of the fighters, their injury history, and how they have responded against similar opponents in the past.

Is it safe to bet on this fight?

Betting always involves risks. Make sure you understand the odds and properly manage your bankroll before placing bets.

Where can I watch the fight?

The fight will be broadcast on various streaming platforms and sports channels. Check availability in your region.

How long does a UFC fight normally last?

A UFC fight can last up to five rounds of five minutes each, but many fights end before reaching the decision.

What does “less than 2.5 rounds” mean?

This bet means that the fight is expected to end before two and a half rounds are completed, that is, before 12 minutes and 30 seconds of the fight.

What factors affect a fighter's performance?

Factors such as injuries, physical preparation, the opponent's fighting style, and experience in pressure situations can affect a fighter's performance.

What is “xG” in MMA?

“xG” refers to “expected goals”, a term used to analyze performance in MMA through statistics that evaluate the effectiveness of offensive actions.